了解上市公司年報(bào)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露的佳作。
上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量研究,是國(guó)內(nèi)外研究的前沿和熱點(diǎn)問(wèn)題,能彌補(bǔ)相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)空缺,能應(yīng)用到提高上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露、投資者的投資決策、政府監(jiān)管部門(mén)的監(jiān)管和相關(guān)政策的制定。首先,風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量可以用委托代理理論、市場(chǎng)約束與政府監(jiān)管理論、經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)供求理論等多重理論解釋;第二,研究我國(guó)上市企業(yè)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量,可以從理論和實(shí)證的雙重角度評(píng)價(jià)我國(guó)上市企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)披露的現(xiàn)狀和存在的問(wèn)題;第三,影響我國(guó)上市企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露因素很多,可以從公司治理、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理委員會(huì)和高管特征等方面進(jìn)行分析;第四,上市公司披露的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息如果是有用的、有效的,且被投資者或潛在信息使用者獲取,就會(huì)帶來(lái)如實(shí)反映風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理水平、提升風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理能力和降低股價(jià)波動(dòng)率等經(jīng)濟(jì)后果;第五,中外上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的比較,包括雙重上市公司境內(nèi)外風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的一致性分析和境內(nèi)外上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露差異的分析;第六,典型行業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量分析,包括制造業(yè)、金融業(yè)和房地產(chǎn)行業(yè);第七,上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的治理,包括政府監(jiān)管、公司自身治理和社會(huì)監(jiān)管。
張?jiān)?,湖南長(zhǎng)沙人,北京科技大學(xué)東凌經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院財(cái)會(huì)系副教授,研究方向?yàn)轱L(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理與內(nèi)部控制、教育經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理、政府與非營(yíng)利組織會(huì)計(jì)。擔(dān)任中國(guó)會(huì)計(jì)學(xué)會(huì)政府與非營(yíng)利組織會(huì)計(jì)分會(huì)委員。已出版教材4部、專著2部,在《會(huì)計(jì)研究》等刊物發(fā)表學(xué)術(shù)論文多篇。主持國(guó)家自科基金1項(xiàng),主持國(guó)家社科基金1項(xiàng),已主持教育部人文社科項(xiàng)目等省部級(jí)項(xiàng)目6項(xiàng)。
三、信號(hào)傳遞對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露的影響············································27
第二節(jié)市場(chǎng)約束與政府監(jiān)管理論 ·················································27
一、市場(chǎng)約束對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露的影響············································27
二、政府監(jiān)管對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露的影響············································28
第三節(jié)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)供求理論 ·····························································29
一、從經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)角度看風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息的需求············································29
二、從經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)角度看風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息的供給············································30
第三章上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的評(píng)價(jià) ··································33
第一節(jié)上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量指標(biāo)體系的構(gòu)建 ·························34
一、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量指標(biāo)體系構(gòu)建的依據(jù) ··································34
二、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量指標(biāo)體系的構(gòu)建·········································37
第二節(jié)研究設(shè)計(jì) ······································································39
一、數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源與樣本選擇···························································39
二、研究方法——內(nèi)容分析法·····················································40
第三節(jié)評(píng)分結(jié)果及分析 ·····························································41
一、評(píng)分結(jié)果··········································································41
二、總體評(píng)分分析····································································43
三、分項(xiàng)評(píng)分分析····································································45
四、行業(yè)分析··········································································52
五、年度分析··········································································53
六、上市地點(diǎn)分析····································································54
七、上市板塊分析····································································55
八、是否為ST類公司分析··························································55
九、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)類型與排序分析···························································56
第四節(jié)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量現(xiàn)狀評(píng)價(jià) ··············································57
一、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露取得的成績(jī)·····················································57
二、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露存在的問(wèn)題·····················································57
三、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露現(xiàn)狀的原因·····················································59
第四章上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的動(dòng)因 ··································61
第一節(jié)動(dòng)因一:公司治理 ·························································62
一、研究假設(shè)··········································································62
二、數(shù)據(jù)與樣本·······································································64
三、變量與模型·······································································65
四、實(shí)證分析··········································································67
五、結(jié)論················································································95
第二節(jié)動(dòng)因二:風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理委員會(huì) ················································95
一、引言················································································95
二、文獻(xiàn)回顧··········································································96
三、研究假設(shè)··········································································97
四、變量與模型·······································································99
五、樣本與數(shù)據(jù) ····································································· 101
六、實(shí)證結(jié)果分析·································································· 102
七、結(jié)論與建議 ····································································· 113
第三節(jié)動(dòng)因三:高管特征 ······················································· 115
一、引言 ·············································································· 115
二、文獻(xiàn)回顧 ········································································ 115
三、研究假設(shè) ········································································ 116
四、變量與模型 ····································································· 118
五、樣本與數(shù)據(jù) ····································································· 120
六、實(shí)證結(jié)果分析·································································· 120
七、結(jié)論與建議 ····································································· 132
第五章上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的后果 ································ 135
第一節(jié)后果一:如實(shí)反映風(fēng)險(xiǎn)水平 ··········································· 136
一、引言 ·············································································· 136
二、研究假設(shè) ········································································ 136
三、樣本與數(shù)據(jù) ····································································· 137
四、變量的衡量 ····································································· 138
五、結(jié)果分析 ········································································ 139
六、結(jié)論與建議 ····································································· 153
第二節(jié)后果二:提升風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理能力 ··········································· 153
一、引言 ·············································································· 153
二、理論與假設(shè) ····································································· 154
三、變量與數(shù)據(jù) ····································································· 155
四、實(shí)證分析 ········································································ 157
五、結(jié)論與建議 ····································································· 164
第三節(jié)后果三:降低股價(jià)波動(dòng)率 ·············································· 165
一、引言 ·············································································· 165
二、文獻(xiàn)回顧 ········································································ 165
三、研究假設(shè) ········································································ 166
四、變量與模型 ····································································· 166
五、樣本與數(shù)據(jù) ····································································· 167
六、實(shí)證結(jié)果分析·································································· 167
七、結(jié)論與建議 ····································································· 170
第六章中外上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的比較 ························ 171
第一節(jié)雙重上市公司境內(nèi)外風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量一致性分析 ·············· 172
一、引言 ·············································································· 172
二、三地風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息的披露要求··················································· 173
三、研究假設(shè) ········································································ 173
四、變量與模型 ····································································· 175
五、數(shù)據(jù)與樣本 ····································································· 175
六、雙重上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的評(píng)價(jià) ································ 184
七、一致性的初步描述分析········190
八、一致性的相同率與一致率分析····201
九、一致性的兩配對(duì)樣本T檢驗(yàn) ···· 206
十、一致性影響因素的回歸分析·····209
十一、結(jié)論與建議····211
第二節(jié)境內(nèi)外上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息比較 ·····212
一、引言 ··· 212
二、研究假設(shè) ····213
三、數(shù)據(jù)與樣本 ······214
四、變量與方法 ····218
五、初步描述性分析······219
六、配比樣本的T檢驗(yàn) ·········230
第七章典型行業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量及其動(dòng)因分析 ······ 241
第一節(jié)制造業(yè)上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量分析 ······242
一、基本情況 ·····242
二、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分類統(tǒng)計(jì)···· 243
三、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)匯總 ·····245
四、結(jié)論與建議 ····· 245
第二節(jié)房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量及影響因素分析 ········ 246
一、引言 ···· 246
二、我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的評(píng)分 ··· 247
三、我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的評(píng)分結(jié)果分析 ·····247
四、我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的影響因素分析 ···· 251
第三節(jié)金融行業(yè)上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量及其影響因素分析 ····262
一、披露風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息的金融業(yè)上市公司·· 262
二、我國(guó)金融業(yè)上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的評(píng)分結(jié)果分析 ··· 263
三、境內(nèi)外金融業(yè)上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的比較分析 ····· 272
第八章上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露質(zhì)量的治理 ····· 279
第一節(jié)政府對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露的監(jiān)管措施 ····· 280
一、規(guī)范監(jiān)管方的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)披露制度和標(biāo)準(zhǔn)·· 280
二、加強(qiáng)監(jiān)管部門(mén)的監(jiān)管力度···· 282
三、建立配套的機(jī)制··· 283
第二節(jié)上市公司對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露的改進(jìn) ·· 283
一、上市公司完善風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理機(jī)構(gòu)·······283
二、增強(qiáng)上市公司風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露的廣度與深度 ···· 284
三、逐步推行定量風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析方法····284
四、建立風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理控制系統(tǒng)····285
五、確定風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理原則···285
六、完善上市公司內(nèi)部的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理系統(tǒng)····· 285
七、培養(yǎng)專業(yè)化的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理人才····· 286
八、構(gòu)建先進(jìn)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理文化······ 286
第三節(jié)社會(huì)監(jiān)督對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露的改進(jìn) ········ 286
一、重視注冊(cè)會(huì)計(jì)師對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露的外部監(jiān)督 ······ 286
二、提高市場(chǎng)參與主體對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)信息披露的重視程度 ····· 287
參考文獻(xiàn)········· 289